[meteorite-list] Ready for May's Surprise Meteor Shower?

Ron Baalke baalke at zagami.jpl.nasa.gov
Wed May 21 15:54:43 EDT 2014


http://www.skyandtelescope.com/astronomy-news/observing-news/mays-surprise-meteor-shower/

Ready for May's Surprise Meteor Shower?
By: Kelly Beatty 
Sky & Telescope
May 21, 2014
       
Dim, obscure periodic comet 209P/LINEAR is about to pass close to Earth 
- and bring with it a trail of debris that could make for an exciting 
meteor shower in May, during the predawn hours of the 24th.

Most skygazers are familiar with the usual "biggies" among meteor showers 
like the Perseids and Geminids. But if the calculations of celestial dynamicists 
are correct, we're about to experience a terrific meteor shower that virtually 
no one's ever heard of: the Camelopardalids.

[Graphic]
Meteors from the May 24th's early-morning display can appear anywhere 
in the sky, but they will appear to originate from a point (called the 
radiant) in the constellation Camelopardalis, the Giraffe. Stars are plotted 
for 2 a.m. local daylight time as seen from mid-northern latitudes.
Sky & Telescope illustration.

Don't blame yourself for not knowing about this one - historic records 
show little evidence that the "Cams" have ever made an appearance before. 
They are bits of dust cast off from periodic comet 209P/LINEAR, an obscure, 
dim comet that circles the Sun every 5.1 years.

What's got dynamicists excited, however, is that Earth might might plow 
right through relatively dense strands of debris shed by the comet long 
ago. This should create a strong burst of "shooting stars" on May 24th. 
Several predictions suggest you might see anywhere from 100 to 400 meteors 
per hour from a dark location free of light pollution. That means you 
could perhaps see a few meteors per minute. Some (but not all) dynamicists 
think there's even an outside chance that the celestial spectacle could 
briefly become a meteor "storm," with more than 1,000 arriving per hour!

Timing is Great for North America

[Graphic]
This plot shows that, from the suburbs of San Francisco, a skywatcher 
out just after midnight on May 24th might see more than 100 meteors in 
an hour from new Camelopardalid shower. You can use the same "Fluximator" 
to estimate how many meteors you'll see from various cities (and using 
different predictions).
Peter Jenniskens / SETI Institute

Storm or no storm, they agree that the peak will likely occur between 
about 6:30 and 7:30 Universal Time on the 24th. This timing favors North 
Americans, though it means you'll have to be out around 3 a.m. on the 
East Coast and just after midnight on the West Coast. The outburst will 
be brief, lasting just a few hours, though a somewhat longer duration 
is possible. Moonlight from a slender waning crescent won't be a problem.

The meteors will appear all over the sky (so you'll want to look in whatever 
direction gives you the darkest view.) But follow their bright paths backward, 
and they'll lead you to a location in the dim constellation of Camelopardalis, 
the Giraffe, about 12° from Polaris. The high declination of this shower's 
radiant, well above the northern horizon for most of us, is good news 
too.

Interestingly, in the past week there've been a few reports of really 
bright fireballs from this radiant direction. Are these early arrivals 
from the Camelopardalids? Maybe! They've certainly gotten the attention 
of dynamicist Esko Lyytinen. "This made me think that if the sky is clear 
here in Finland during the predicted shower, I will try to tune my fireball 
camera to observe in the daylight for a possible daylight fireball," he 
says.


[Graphic]
According to predictions, a little-known comet will pass perihelion in 
early May of 2014 and, two weeks later, sandblast Earth with dust particles 
spread along its orbit.
NASA / JPL / Horizons

Discovered in 2004, Comet 209P/LINEAR passed through perihelion on May 
6th and will skirt just 5 million miles (0.055 astronomical unit) from 
Earth on May 29th. That will be the 9th closest approach of any comet 
on record. But the comet itself won't get any brighter than 11th magnitude. 
Besides, the meteors we'll see are not from this pass - instead, they'll 
be from perihelion passes as long ago as the late 1700s and early 1800s.

Adding to the uncertainty is that while the comet is active now, it might 
not have been all those years ago. "We do not know what rate to expect, 
because the comet was not observed in the 18th, 19th and early 20th centuries," 
explains meteor specialist Peter Jenniskens (SETI Institute).

For those who might have the misfortune of cloudy weather during the Camelopardalid 
shower - or if you live where it won't be seen (sorry, Aussies!) - Italian 
astronomer Gianluca Masi (Virtual Telescope Project) is planning an online 
meteor watch. "We will have several observers in the U.S. and Canada using 
wide-field imaging and all-sky cameras to send us images, assuring live 
coverage," he says. Coverage begins at 5:30 Universal Time on May 24th.

You can also watch a webcast using the Slooh robotic telescopes. The Slooh 
team will view and discuss the comet starting at 6 p.m. EDT (22:00 UT) 
and follow with live coverage of the new meteor shower a few hours later 
at 11 p.m. EDT (3:00 UT on May 24th).

Should this event tempt you to pull out your camera, read our article 
on How to Photograph a Meteor Shower for equipment and techniques that 
will help you toward success.



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