[meteorite-list] Chelyabinsk trajectory modeling -- how welldid we do? Part 1 of 2

[Jim Wooddell]

Hi Richard and all,

 From my perspective, I do not think 5 miles or 3 miles is close. If 
there is anything bigger out there, I suspect it is within 6 miles of 
this stone they recovered in the lake and I am guessing if there is, 
which is completely opinion at this point, it broke apart when it his 
the ground unless maybe it hit some trees which reduced it's energy 
before hitting the ground.

Looking at the numbers, there is about 12 miles between a 10kg stone and 
a 1000kg stone.  And, with the other coordinates Rob posted, we should 
be able to compare find data with these.  I have yet to see any of this.

I do not know the level or error allowed in the calculations that would 
say the current process is on track.  To me, anything between 10kg and 
1000kg was off a very long way to walk!  Still, I know there is a margin 
to consider.


Jim





On 10/17/2013 8:16 PM, Richard Montgomery wrote:
> Mike is no doubt correct. If there hadn't been a hole in the ice it 
> would have been un-noticed.  Way too far from the final terminal large 
> stuff.
>
>
> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Michael Farmer" 
> <mike at meteoriteguy.com>
> To: "Jim Wooddell" <jim.wooddell at suddenlink.net>
> Cc: <meteorite-list at meteoritecentral.com>
> Sent: Wednesday, October 16, 2013 5:36 PM
> Subject: Re: [meteorite-list] Chelyabinsk trajectory modeling -- how 
> welldid we do? Part 1 of 2
>
>
>> I guarantee that the mass in lake chebarkul is not the largest that 
>> fell.
>>
>> Michael Farmer
>>
>> Sent from my iPad
>>
>> On Oct 16, 2013, at 4:41 PM, Jim Wooddell 
>> <jim.wooddell at suddenlink.net> wrote:
>>
>>> com
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-- 
Jim Wooddell
jim.wooddell at suddenlink.net
http://pages.suddenlink.net/chondrule/