[meteorite-list] Russia mega meteor and asteroid 2012DA14 related, yes I think so...

[Bjorn Sorheim]

The trajectory through the siberian atmosphere doesn't seem to be known with
very great precisison at the time.
I am working out from this statement from  Jeremie Vaubaillon
on the [IMO-News] saying:
"the bolide was heading very roughly North-East towards South-West".

Looking at the geometry of the orbit of  2012DA14 and the location of these 
russian cites east of Ural
at nine in the morning, a flat path over west Siberia is _strikingly very 
parallell_ to 2012DA14's
orbit. Only this is already giving a strong leaning towards them being 
connected. You need to be looking
at a globe of the Earth and its exact tilt and Siberia's position to the 
other objects of interest (asteroid, Sun)
to get a grasp of my argument. If not, you would not understand the value 
of the argument.

If NASA (if they indeed have done so) is rejecting a connection to the 
nearby asteroid
I think it foremost is up to them and other 'astronomers' doing so - to 
bring forward what reasons
of rejecting a connection. They seem to have brought forward none.
The message from NASA says only:
"Preliminary information indicates that a meteor in Chelyabinsk, Russia, is 
not related to
asteroid 2012DA14, which is flying by Earth safely today."

Take note of the fact that the inclination of the orbit to Earth's orbit 
plane is a shallow 10 degrees.
Actually one would say, 'almost' parallell to the Earth's orbital plane. So 
no problem reaching any
point in the northern hemisphere, let alone 55 deg. N.
(And don't make the mistake of assuming that the meteorid/meteor is 
originating in the
2012DA14's postion, they are flying _parallell_ through space at any 
distance you may wish - within reason.)

Bjørn Sørheim


 > Hello Bjørn,
 >
 > Ok, what _evidence_ do you have to the contrary?
 >
 > /DA14's trajectory is trivially established precisely. Show us this
 > new body matches that trajectory. It either does or it doesn't. You
 > are claiming it does, so now you need to present your case.
 >
 > Finger-pointing and innuendo does not a falsifiable argument make.
 >
 > --- Jodie
 >
 >
 > Friday, February 15, 2013, 7:56:16 PM, you wrote:
 >
 >
 >> All the various arguments against it being a connection between the russian
 >> meteor of today and the asteroid passage also today of 2012 DA14 are quite
 >> shallow and actually faulty. The closest passage of a very large asteroid
 >> object ever and the the most damaging (for humans) meteorite fall ever in
 >> the same day and they are not related?? That is a joke! Added to this, can
 >> anyone with good knowledge (exact information) of the geometry of the two
 >> trajectories of these bodies just compare them? The best knowledge I got
 >> (from International Meteor Organization IMO) is pointing towards them being
 >> exact parallell, which would in effect exclude them from not being related.
 >> An object coming in shallow path from south could easily enter Russia from
 >> northeast in the morning. The earth rotates continuously and therefore
 >> entry from northeast is easily attainable. NASA (to the degree they have
 >> made a final verdict) is in error here. Unfortunately the world press has
 >> too little scientific background to counter an error from NASA and follow
 >> it as a flock of drowsy geese. Sorry but this is the situation in this 
case!
 >> Psychologically, I think this is a case (on the the part of NASA) as -
 >> DON't you grab MY puppy!! (being incidentally asteroid 2012 DA14) Well,
 >> Russia did just that, and the US reaction followed - not the first time
 >> actually...
 >
 >> Bjørn Sørheim
 >

 > --
 > Best regards,
 > Jodie