[meteorite-list] Tata-Foumzgit Martian Fall. The most significant fall of this century?

MexicoDoug mexicodoug at aim.com
Fri Jan 13 23:23:03 EST 2012


Hi Chris, Partly that which tips the odds (what is it every 10,000 
years of so?), but mainly it is flipping a coin that already favors 
Mars.  The four Martian results do not permit the drawing of 
conclusions as the data is insufficient.

- 8 Martian meteorites with pairing group TKW's equal or greater than 4 
kg are known and half were observed falls.
- 3 Lunar meteorites with pairing group TKW's equal or greater than 4 
kg are known and none were observed.

Just because you can count the number of falls, doesn't mean you will 
notice a small fall with equal probability, so one needs to consider 
the size distribution of the recoveries when interpreting their 
statistics.  Only 4 Martians have been witnessed and the 50 year gaps 
do not have a divine launch and guidance system - purely coincidental.  
Another one could fall tomorrow (fingers crossed).  Mike is confused by 
this because he has done in statistics what is referred to as unfounded 
DATA DREDGING and found a correlation that has no statistical 
confidence worthy of significance, but his bias creates his confusion.

You don't need to understand the tedium of statistics to look at the 
above data and say, but if one of the three Lunars were witnessed all 
would be ok.  Fact is - no one was watching that one.  Further on that, 
all three Lunar finds happened in unpopulated deserts without even 
considering terrestrial ages.  Yet all four large Martian happened over 
populations.  Must be the slingshot effect - of the little green 
leprechauns on Mars.  So, Mike is now wondering, how come the three 
biggest Martians fell in populated areas and the three biggest lunars 
didn't.  It clearly is a conspiracy, right?

Kindest wishes
Doug


-----Original Message-----
From: Chris Spratt <cspratt at islandnet.com>
To: meteorite-list <meteorite-list at meteoritecentral.com>
Sent: Fri, Jan 13, 2012 10:12 pm
Subject: Re: [meteorite-list] Tata-Foumzgit Martian Fall. The most 
significant fall of this century?


I suspect that the close proximity of the Earth/Moon system would have
"cleared out" any collissional debris a few thousand of years ago.

Chris Spratt
(Via my iPhone)
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