[meteorite-list] Mars life concerns
Ron Baalke
baalke at zagami.jpl.nasa.gov
Tue Jul 19 13:20:55 EDT 2005
>
> 1 to 1,267,650,600,228,229,401,496,703,205,376.
>
> The above number represents the probability of a coin being flipped 100
> times and yielding 100 tails in a row. Maybe I missed a factor of two, but that
> is really not important. (and for 50 times it is still on the order of
> Avogadros's number). The point being, the probability of getting 100 organisms of
> all the same species from the zoo that lives in, on and around humans is much
> worse than these odds, due to competition. So maybe double the amount of
> digits to the left of the decimal point? Or maybe with some dependence they
> improve...that's would be quite an improvement...to "most likely".
That's a big number, but totally irrelevant to the discussion at hand.
The scientists took a swab of a foam insulation from the camera, and incubated
it for 4 days, and observed growth of S. mitis. What are the odds
of getting 100 organisms after 4 days of incubation allowing it to grow and
multiply?
Ron Baalke
More information about the Meteorite-list
mailing list